Baby Boomer Retirement Crisis

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By easyspeak

Baby Boomer Retirement

The mass baby boomer retirement that is beginning to occur will bring a host of economic and social problems down the line. This generation will usher in one of the biggest societal shifts in history.

We are looking at an economic and social structure where we will be top-heavy with retirees with not enough workers to support them. It will lead to the baby boomer generation having to come out of retirement or being forced to retire later.

Just like any social problem, there also exists business opportunities as well. But let's take a quick look at several of the major issues that we will be facing with the baby boomer retirement crisis.  Any good investment advice you get will consider these issues as well.

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The Social Security system will be bankrupt by 2012, forcing seniors to retire later or come out of retirement.

Katie Couric's Notebook: The Aging Boom

Wall Street and Retirement

Joe the Plumber Speaking on Social Security

Social Security

Social security is a mess and everyone knows it, and it will get even worse with the rapidly rising baby boomer retirement rates. But because of 9/11, the Iraq and Afghanistan wars, and the Great Recession, we have stopped talking about the problem.

Just because we've stopped talking about it doesn't mean it's no longer a major problem. Prior to 9/11 it was one of the top political issues that was being debated.

Basically, social security is running out of money. When they first established it in the 1940's, they set the retirement age when you'd be eligible to receive benefits at 62. It's currently still at 62.

But back then the life expectancy rate was around 62. That means they weren't counting on the fact that people would actually take out benefits. It was just an insurance policy for those who lived passed that age and could no longer work.

As we all know, the life expectancy in the US has gone up tremendously through medical advances and healthier living. Now we have a flood of American baby boomers who are retiring at 62, applying for benefits and living way beyond that age.

The other problem is the sheer proportion of baby boomers to workers. There aren't enough workers to support the baby boomers in the social security system.

That's why it's such a big deal. As the baby boomer begin to retire, the money in the social security system will be depleted.

Stock Market and Other Securities

The baby boomers who weren't relying on social security for their retirement as many have decided to do, they decided to put their savings in savings accounts, investing in the stock market and bonds, as well as real estate and other securities.

What's going to happen when all these people retire? Simple, they will start liquidating all their assets to live off of the cash. As this starts happening, capital investment from domestic dollars will start to erode and either the securities that the retirement money was in will decline, or the sovereign wealth funds of foreign governments will take over those assets.

Welfare System

Then we have those baby boomers who won't get enough social security benefits, as we see is already happening, and have no other retirement savings or investments. They will have to live off of the government's welfare system, continuing to deplete the system's cash. We run up against the same problem at this point. We won't have enough tax payers to support the baby boomers who need financial aid.

Solutions Far Off

What are the potential solutions to this problem? No one really knows nor are we talking about it because of the legitimate urgent issues we are currently facing as a nation. We need to make sure our seniors are taken care of. They led us through WWII, the Vietnam War, and the Cold War with strength and courage. We owe them. But we need to find a way to take care of them without crushing the entire system. There is a way out there that is yet to be discovered.

Investment and Business Opportunity

The aging of the baby boomer retirement generation also happens to be a huge and rapidly growing industry and many are taking advantage of the many investment and business opportunities that are out there.

Investors should look for stock, hedge funds and asset management funds, that deal heavily in the elderly care industries. That means looking at holding companies that manage retirement homes, assisted living facilities, independent living facilities and the like.

Nursing, especially Geriatrics Nursing is a good field to go into if you're looking for a profession in the health services field. Not only will there be a high demand for these types of health care provides, but a huge business opportunity will grow for new businesses to start around elderly health care.

Expect even things like community centers geared toward the elderly to do well as well. As long as they have facilities, personnel and activities to facilitate gatherings of the elderly.

Good Business for China

For those who get a good business model down to do elderly healthcare in the US will have a grand opportunity to do the same in China. Because of the one child policy, there are now 1 worker supporting 2 retired parents and 4 retired grandparents.

The retirement age in China happens to be 60 while the life expectancy rate there is also higher than in the US, especially for a developing country. Those with a good business model for excellent geriatrics healthcare here in the US will have very high demand in China as there is growing baby boomer retirement in China.

Even though the economy in China is still developing, there is still a wealthy class of business people and high ranking government officials, that will pay top dollar for good care in their gray years.

China still does not have great standards when it comes to this type of health care and companies that can offer this will get these very rich clients.

In addition, there is a fast rising middle class as well who won't be able to take care of their parents and grandparents like generations past. That means they will be willing to pay to get their aging relatives in elderly care homes. It's a huge market and a great opportunity for those with the resources to be able to pull it off.

The baby boomer retirement is a problem but with great opportunities for those who see it coming.  And there are many who are.  But I believe there are still great opportunities for investors to get involved.

Comments

OpinionDuck profile image

OpinionDuck 2 years ago

easyspeak

You really didn't do your homework on social security.

Probably should look at Canadian SS seeing how your in Vancouver.

Nice place.

easyspeak profile image

easyspeak Hub Author 2 years ago

opinionduck, I'd appreciate if you'd point out what you see as an error instead of just accusing without basis. If I'm wrong, I'll be happy to alter this hub. I'm in Canada, but I'm American. Been living here for only 3 years. Thanks.

OpinionDuck profile image

OpinionDuck 2 years ago

easyspeak

didn't mean to have an edge.

Social Security was setup in 1935 by FDR.

Social Security is a tax with a promise of something

The age of 62 now is for reduced and not full benefits.

The age for full benefits used to be 65, but it goes up depending on your birth date.

The Congresses over the decades have used the Social Security money as a general slush fund piggy bank, they and not the recepients have drained it.

While there is a large amount of money for SS in the budget, you have to contrast it with the tax burden created by the government Federal Employee Retirement System that is paid by the taxpayers, and it increases with every increase in the size of government and as government employees retire.

You talk about SS retirees living off government welfare, consider that these people could have paid the forced SS contributions for a half century to get these paltry benefits. Then to earn enough to get by, they work at some job, and that job takes SS contributions.

My point is that instead of pointing the finger at the retirees, that finger should go to the government. We the people are paying the public servants and providing benefits we ourselves cannot get in the private sector.

Now that government wants to force National Healthcare for the people but again not for the government workers.

One solution is to split the SS based on age and let them run through its course, then the younger generation should have retirement system that is private, and controlled to grow the cntributions into a fund that will be able to pay its retirees. This is similar to th FERS federal employee retirement system. With FERS if the fund didn't make enough to pay the retiree, the taxpayer money kicks in to make the difference.

Any loss to see the SS retirees of the existing system should be made up by the government, the government engineered the plan and refused to protect the contributions and make it grow.

Thanks for asking.

easyspeak profile image

easyspeak Hub Author 2 years ago

I wasn't pointing my finger at the retirees at all. I put the responsibility for this on the government and political leaders. Although we do live in a Democracy where ultimate responsibility is on the people.

Thanks for the input.

OpinionDuck profile image

OpinionDuck 2 years ago

You are correct, but unfortunately the voters haven't been too smart for the last fifty years, or more.

Thanks for the reply

OpinionDuck profile image

OpinionDuck 2 years ago

easyspeak

Thanks for the fan mail and it is always good to share our ideas and opinions. We probably have topics we agree on and others that probably not many people agree on.

have a great hub day.

quack.

Rob 21 months ago

The legislative branch of the federal governemnt has run amok. Democracy, if it exists in this country, has been shrouded and immunized from the influence of the voters of this country. When was the last time you were aware of the earmarking of funds generated by a new tax law? Without earmarking, the generated funds could go anywhere and do, and seldom to the programs they were advertized to help when the new legislation was advertized to the voter. We see the fleecing of the middle calss over and over in this country and this subject is just another example. However, and I do not disagree with the points you are making, one comment in the discussion thread you made is very correct and extremely important: ultimately it is our responsibility and at the moment, we are genrally to blind to see the wealthy class money grabs taking place and the role the government (and the wealthy bivoucked there) is playing in it.

Thanks for sharing your insights, wish more people thought that way.

mandatory retirement 20 months ago

My full retirement age is 66, a little more than 2 years from now. My plan is to work full time until then. I'm fortunate to have a full time job in this economy. This "crisis" has been a long time coming and it will take some very creative to "fix" it.

Bill 11 months ago

The republican party is essentially correct in what they have been saying. We do not have a taxing problem, we have a spending problem.

However, what they as well as the democratic party failed to recognize is the fact that we would not have a deficit crises due to the high cost of social security and/or Medicare, if they would have left the excess revenue in the social security and/or Medicare trust funds where it belongs, instead of siphoning off the surplus tax revenues from these funds and spending them for other purposes than that in which they were intended.

For many years congress has considered social security and Medicare spending as off-budget spending.

However, the Office .of Management and Budget (OMB) recently proposed putting all federal off-budget spending back on the books.

WHAT IS OFF-BUDGET SPENDING?

Off-budget spending is federal spending or lending that, by law, is not counted as part of. the regular federal budget and as such, is isolated from the normal appropriations processes and public debate surrounding on-budget spending.

Off-budget spending, in short, is a tool used to disguise the true cost of government programs. As a result, U.S . taxpayers OMB proposals to place off-budget spending back on the books would afford an important step toward fiscal responsibility and forfeit a degree of control over the process of government.

OFF-BUDGET SPENDING AND THE POLITICAL PROCESS

Off-budget spending is the epitome of fiscal irresponsibility and governmental hypocrisy. OMB's proposal to include off-budget outlays as part of the budget should be welcomed by all those who are seriously concerned about budgetary control. The political role of off-budget spending is to allow politicians to preach fiscal responsibility and to practice political profligacy. (extravagance- reckless spending)

The following is only my opinion:

Cutting social security and Medicare funds does nothing to help offset the federal deficit. It merely places an unfair burden on the taxpayers who would have to come up with addition funding to replace the funds which the government siphoned off from the social security and Medicare funds in order to pay off other unrelated general obligations of the federal governments debt.

In other words one cannot continue to rob Peter to pay Paul. This is due to the fact that eventually Peter will run out of money and they both will end up broke. I ________________________________________________________________________

The baby boomer problem has nothing to do with the current social security crises.

Congress created the current social security crises themselves.

Congress violating the trust of people when the raised the tax rates on social security under the false pretence that the tax rate had to be increased to help offset the future cost to social security due to the pending upcoming baby boomer crisis.

This violation of the trust of people occurred due to the fact the extra revenue that was collect during the baby boomer generation in order to help offset the future cost of social security was not held in the social security trust fund as originally intended.

In 1983, the payroll tax was increased substantially in response to the recommendations, the previous year, of the Greenspan Commission on Social Security Reform. Prior to 1983, Social Security had operated on a “pay-as-you-go” basis with each generation responsible for paying for the benefits of the generation that preceded them.

The 1983 legislation changed the nature of Social Security funding. In addition to paying for the benefits of the preceding generation, as was customary, the baby boomers were also required to pay additional taxes to partially pre-fund their own retirement.

Given the fact that Section 13301 of the Budget Enforcement Act of 1990 made it a violation of federal law to use Social Security revenue for non-Social Security purposes, it is hard to justify using the word “borrow” to refer to any of the Social Security money spent after 1990, even if it is eventually paid back.

There is something else one needs to be considered when discussing social security, which is the Pay-As-You-Go Act of 2010.

Office of Management and Budget

The Statutory Pay-As-You-Go Act of 2010: A Description

The Statutory Pay-As-You-Go Act of 2010 (PAYGO, or "the Act") is part of Public Law 111-139, enacted on February 12, 2010. Briefly, the Act requires that all new legislation changing taxes, fees, or mandatory expenditures, taken together, must not increase projected deficits. This requirement is enforced by the threat of automatic across-the-board cuts in selected mandatory programs in the event that legislation taken as a whole does not meet the PAYGO standard established by the law. PAYGO also established special scorecards and scorekeeping rules.

A. Principle. The principle underlying PAYGO is a rule of budget neutrality - that is, the government must not enact any new laws that would increase projected deficits.

Adherence to PAYGO does not by itself reduce projected deficits, but during the 1990s, when the first statutory PAYGO law was in effect, adherence to the principle reinforced - and effectively locked into place - the substantive deficit-reduction measures enacted in 1990 and 1993, helping to lead to surpluses in the last four years of the Clinton Administration.

B. Applicability. PAYGO applies to laws enacted after February 12, 2010, that would alter revenues or mandatory spending or collections. (Mandatory spending encompasses any spending except that controlled by the annual appropriations process.1) For simplicity, this description calls such laws "PAYGO bills."

PAYGO requires that bills reducing revenues must be fully offset by cuts in mandatory programs or by revenue increases. It also requires that any bills increasing mandatory expenditures must be fully offset by revenue increases or cuts in mandatory programs. For purposes of PAYGO, there is no fundamental distinction between mandatory and tax legislation. Although it is simplest to describe the PAYGO principle as barring legislation that would increase projected deficits, the Act, which is permanent, would continue to apply even if the budget were in surplus.

C. Enforcement. If Congress enacts PAYGO bills cutting taxes or increasing mandatory expenditures without fully offsetting the costs, the Act specifies a penalty, called "sequestration." If Congress adjourns at the end of a session with net costs – that is, more costs than savings - on the scorecard, the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) is required to calculate, and the President is required to issue a sequestration order implementing, across-the-board cuts to a select group of mandatory programs in an amount sufficient to offset the net costs on the PAYGO scorecard.

PAYGO subjects mandatory spending to sequestration, with specified exemptions. Exemptions from sequestration include Social Security; most unemployment benefits; veterans’ benefits; interest on the debt; federal retirement; and the low-income entitlements such as Medicaid, SNAP (food stamps), and Supplemental Security Income.2 The major remaining mandatory programs, which are subject to sequestration, include most Medicare payments, farm price supports, vocational rehabilitation basic state grants, mineral leasing payments to states, the Social Services block grant, and many smaller programs…”

“Sequestration is also defined as confiscation.”

*Note the Exemptions to the Pay-As-You-Go Act of 2010*

(which by the way just happens to include social security.)

PAYGO subjects mandatory spending to sequestration, with specified exemptions. Exemptions from sequestration include Social Security; most unemployment benefits; veterans’ benefits; interest on the debt; federal retirement; and the low-income entitlements such as Medicaid, SNAP (food stamps), and Supplemental Security Income.

Johnny Parker profile image

Johnny Parker 6 months ago

Very well observed. I'm glad I'm on the up side of fifty, I wouldn't want to be starting out in this climate.

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